From Unipolarity to Multipolarity: Navigating the Perilous Path Ahead
We are going through the most dangerous period in human history between now and 20 January 2025
The world is on the verge of a major shift in global power dynamics. The unipolar era dominated by the United States and its Western allies is coming to an end. A new multipolar world order is emerging under the leadership of the BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa). This shift was decades in the making, but it gained momentum as the United States weaponized the U.S. dollar by imposing financial sanctions on countries that did not comply with the Western orders. Russia's expulsion from SWIFT and its removal from the global financial system together with the seizure of Russian reserves worth $300 billion were the final nails in the coffin of unipolarity which was established and maintained on the basis of the dollar being the world reserve currency. This seismic shift in global power will have far-reaching consequences, reshaping the international landscape and redefining the rules of engagement between nations.
The biggest obstacle to the peaceful transition from unipolarity to multipolarity is the United States and Western elites. Their arrogance and colonial mentality have long prevented them from recognizing their declining influence and accepting the rise of new powers. Five centuries of world domination enabled the West to colonize and exploit the rest of the globe, fostering an undeserved sense of superiority. Therefore, they struggle to accept that Russia has not submitted to their authority and resisted being exploited by Western colonial powers. The long periods of world dominance have led the Western elite to believe they are superior to the rest of the world, giving them the power to dictate the terms in the master-slave relationship rather than fostering peer-to-peer relations with the jungle as stated by Josep Borrell, High Representative of the Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy of EU.
Another deterrent to the peaceful transition from unipolarity to multipolarity is the Thucydides Trap, described by political scientist Graham Allison. This theory warns us that in 12 of the past 16 cases where a rising power confronted a ruling power, the result was bloodshed. This bleak history coupled with the arrogance of Western elites, suggests that the path to multipolarity may not be a peaceful transition.
The intensification of global tensions indicate that the West may not accept a peaceful transfer of power to the East without fighting. The United States and its Western allies have launched proxy wars against the Axis of Resistance all around the world, with Ukraine and Palestine being two important fronts in their efforts to weaken and defeat the rebellion of the Axis of Resistance. These conflicts aim to destabilize their adversaries, but also run the risk of escalating into a wider war. While Israel violates all international rules and commits genocide in Gaza, the Ukrainian Neo-Nazi regime, supported by its Western supporters, continues to target Russian civilians by bombing cities or directly recruiting terrorists to mass murder civilians or targeting nuclear power plants.
The West's strategy in Ukraine was clear from the beginning to those interested in geopolitics and those knowledgeable in history: to draw Russia into the Ukrainian quagmire and by providing full financial and military support to Kiev causing Moscow to exhaust itself in the process. This tactic had previously been successfully used against the Soviet Union in Afghanistan. However, there is a very crucial difference compare to the previous one: while the West is ruled by incompetent clowns, Russia is ruled by a strategist president and an elite team of talented bureaucrats and politicians who has been well aware of the western plans and have been preparing for the upcoming conflict since 2008. Gerald Celente expressed the absurd fantasies of the clown politicians in the West very well with these words: “Napoleon could not beat Russia, Hitler could not beat Russia but The West believes that the penis-piano player Zelensky will wipe them out”
The misfortune of the West is that those in power are arrogant, egoist and mediocre individuals who live in their own bubbles. Additionally, they face an excellent strategist and geopolitical player like Putin who understands their game and plans his counter moves accordingly. Moreover, unlike the Soviet Union, Russia is debt-free and economically self-sufficient, enabling it to resist financial sanctions. Russia does not need to sell its resources at discounted rates in exchange for dollars to pay its debt or buy critical products from abroad to survive. In contrast, the United States and its Western allies face a sovereign debt crisis and are struggling to finance their debt as the dollar's status as the world reserve currency plummets. This limits their ability to print money without serious economic consequences. Therefore, while time is rapidly running out for the West as it continues to drain its resources and finances to support Ukraine, jeopardizing its own financial stability and potentially leading to bankruptcy, Russia can endure this economic recession for much longer.
In the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, time is decisively on Russia's side, prompting Moscow to adopt a measured approach while the West is actively seeking to escalate tensions with Russia and is employing provocative tactics to expand the conflict to a broader war that would draw US and NATO into a direct confrontation with Russia. On the other hand, the West, under the pressure of increasing financial difficulties due to the financing of the war in Ukraine and in desperate need of a pretext such as a large-scale war to default on their sovereign debts, is turning to riskier actions that could lead to World War III. Moreover, increasing health problems such as turbo cancers and sudden deaths a result of mass vaccination campaigns in the West, are becoming increasingly difficult to hide, leaving powerful officials who advocated mass vaccination facing the prospect of spending the rest of their lives behind bars. These dynamics create a powerful motivation for the Western elites to redirect popular discontent to an external enemy through large scale war with Russia in order to maintain their grip on power and avoid consequences of their actions.
The second front in the West's proxy war against the Axis of Resistance is unfolding in Palestine, as Israel – a willing participant in this conflict – seeks to consolidate its control over all Palestinian territories. Meanwhile, Israel is using this conflict to get rid of its arch-enemy, Iran. Founded in a region surrounded by enemies, Israel has historically employed US military power to eliminate key enemies such as Syria and Iraq. As the hegemony of the United States weakens and Iran's influence in the region increases, Israel feels compelled to draw Washington into a conflict against Tehran out of fear that it will be left alone against Iran in the region with the end of American dominance. Time, however, is not on Israel's side: its war economy relies heavily on money printing, rendering it unsustainable over the long term, as nearly all working-age men and women are conscripted into military, leaving few resources available for civilian enterprises.
As we can see both Ukraine and its European handlers and Israel are desperate to draw the United States and NATO into their wars to prevent total collapse. On the other hand, the Axis of Resistance (both Russia and Iran) are cautious about triggering a larger conflict that could cause enormous economic and human losses. The critical question is how the US will respond. While neocons advocate for expanding wars on both fronts, they face opposition from more pragmatic voices within the military and political establishments. Meanwhile, the prospect of a Trump victory in November's elections threatens to derail their ambitions for unending war and imperialist domination. Therefore, between now and January 20, 2025 (the inauguration of the newly elected American president) will be the most dangerous periods in modern history, as numerous groups are relentlessly pushing for a full-scale war that could potentially result in catastrophic nuclear destruction
First of all, neocons and the war lobby - comprising the military-industrial complex - will do anything to prevent Trump from winning the elections. Their history of interference, most notably during the 2020 elections, demonstrates their capacity for manipulation (read: election theft). They demonstrated their willingness to resort to extreme measures by carrying out an assassination attempt against Trump on July 13 this year. It is impossible to predict whether they will employ similar tactics in the future or explore alternative approaches. In a hypothetical scenario in which Trump emerges victorious in the November election, they still have sufficient time and opportunity—by January 20—to ignite a conflict that Trump will not be able to reverse once he takes office.
Time is on the side of the Axis of Resistance. They have vast resources and are no longer technologically behind their Western counterparts, in fact, as in the case of China, they have even surpassed their Western counterparts technologically. At the same time, they are slowly implementing an alternative financial system that will bypass Western sanctions and grant them with economic sovereignty. With each passing day, as the fear of being targeted financially or militarily by Western colonial powers diminishes, the number of new countries seeking to join their alliances increases. The situation was different before February 2022, as the fates of Saddam Hussein and Muammar Gaddafi were engraved in the memories of the countries, as a reminder of the consequences of the rebellion against the will of Western imperialism. As a result, those countries that were outside the West reluctantly used to surrender to the will of the imperial powers. However, the fact that Russia, China and Iran challenged the West, refused to bend the knee and even succeeded, gave the rest of the world hope that they could break the chains of colonialism and achieve a better and more just future.
As the world edges closer to multipolarity, the Axis of Resistance is well-positioned to shape the new global order. The United States and its Western allies must come to terms with their waning influence and accept their place among other nations rather than trying to maintain a master-slave relationship. If they continue down the path of confrontation, they risk triggering a catastrophic conflict that could have far-reaching consequences for everyone in the planet.
By recognizing the changing geopolitical landscape and embracing cooperation over confrontation, the world can pave the way for a peaceful transition to a multipolar era.
However, time is running out for those who refuse to adapt to the new reality, making them extremely dangerous for the future of humanity. That's why the next 5 months will be the most critical, most dangerous and most unpredictable period in human history. I hope we can get through this period without any accident, even though the probability is very low.